dryflyelk
Active Member
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after another unsuccessful donation to the Don Peay scholarship fund (ie, expo tags), I had a thought. The odds have been posted so I did a little math.
For bull elk, there were a total of 197,774 $5 entries. If you put in for all the bull elk tags (39 I believe), it would cost you $195. Considering several of the areas had multiple tags (91 tags total), odds of drawing one of those elk tags would be 1 in 2,173.
Say that instead of going to the expo, you took that $200 (rounded up for easy math) and put it on a single number on a standard double 0 roulette table. Odds of hitting that right are 1 in 38. Say you get lucky and hit that number - you'd win $7,000. (35X your bet)
This is where it gets fun. Let's say you want to press your luck and let that $7k ride on that number and try to hit it twice in a row. Today's your day and you got lucky again! Boom. You'd win a cool $245,000.
Odds of that happening are 1 in 1,144 (1/38 X 1/38) - so about twice as likely as drawing an elk tag at the expo, which was 1 in 2,173.
I imagine you could buy some pretty sweet elk hunts for $245,000.
Odds on deer are even longer - 1 in 2,480.
For bull elk, there were a total of 197,774 $5 entries. If you put in for all the bull elk tags (39 I believe), it would cost you $195. Considering several of the areas had multiple tags (91 tags total), odds of drawing one of those elk tags would be 1 in 2,173.
Say that instead of going to the expo, you took that $200 (rounded up for easy math) and put it on a single number on a standard double 0 roulette table. Odds of hitting that right are 1 in 38. Say you get lucky and hit that number - you'd win $7,000. (35X your bet)
This is where it gets fun. Let's say you want to press your luck and let that $7k ride on that number and try to hit it twice in a row. Today's your day and you got lucky again! Boom. You'd win a cool $245,000.
Odds of that happening are 1 in 1,144 (1/38 X 1/38) - so about twice as likely as drawing an elk tag at the expo, which was 1 in 2,173.
I imagine you could buy some pretty sweet elk hunts for $245,000.
Odds on deer are even longer - 1 in 2,480.