D
Deersman
Guest
I know I know here we go again. Sorry, I'm bored and think about this all the time.
Let me preface by saying I don't take fish and game statistics as gospel. I tend to believe in general fish and game #s often can be manipulated to fit "the agenda" wherever or whatever it may be.
Seems to me 80% of the blame for declining deer herds often fall on habitat or some other issue related to weather. And predators only account for small share of the blame. I would contend it was just the opposite. Follow me here.
Utah's average deer population hovers around 300,000 for the last 15 yrs.
They claim a statewide average a little over 17% bucks I will help them out and call it 20%. (it also keeps the math simpler) So that makes 60,000 bucks leaving 240,000 doe. Number of fawn per 100 doe has averaged around 60 for the last decade.
So that means a ball park 144,000 fawns born each yr.
Now I find it very suspicious that you cannot get the Utah state cougar reports online. (its been down since Jan) But you can read the Utah Cougar Management Plan online and on page 7 it states Utah's cougar population was last estimated to be between 2528 to 3936 cougars. A second estimate of 2927 was generated.
So I will go with the later figure and call it 3000 cougar.
Many will say a cat can eat 50 deer per yr. I tend to believe this to be a close estimate. For those who disagree with 50 deer lets say 30.
So 3000 cougar that likely take 90,000 deer per yr. Remember we are only birthing 144,000 new ones at best. I wonder what coyote account for? Its probable that its at least 30,000 statewide. So now we are at 120,000.
Hunter harvest has hovered near 25,000 the last decade as well. And now you have a figure of 145,000.
Why would we allow a population of 3000 cougar. Why not 1000 cougar and up the amount of hunter harvest? To keep deer in check or increase the herd size.
Let me preface by saying I don't take fish and game statistics as gospel. I tend to believe in general fish and game #s often can be manipulated to fit "the agenda" wherever or whatever it may be.
Seems to me 80% of the blame for declining deer herds often fall on habitat or some other issue related to weather. And predators only account for small share of the blame. I would contend it was just the opposite. Follow me here.
Utah's average deer population hovers around 300,000 for the last 15 yrs.
They claim a statewide average a little over 17% bucks I will help them out and call it 20%. (it also keeps the math simpler) So that makes 60,000 bucks leaving 240,000 doe. Number of fawn per 100 doe has averaged around 60 for the last decade.
So that means a ball park 144,000 fawns born each yr.
Now I find it very suspicious that you cannot get the Utah state cougar reports online. (its been down since Jan) But you can read the Utah Cougar Management Plan online and on page 7 it states Utah's cougar population was last estimated to be between 2528 to 3936 cougars. A second estimate of 2927 was generated.
So I will go with the later figure and call it 3000 cougar.
Many will say a cat can eat 50 deer per yr. I tend to believe this to be a close estimate. For those who disagree with 50 deer lets say 30.
So 3000 cougar that likely take 90,000 deer per yr. Remember we are only birthing 144,000 new ones at best. I wonder what coyote account for? Its probable that its at least 30,000 statewide. So now we are at 120,000.
Hunter harvest has hovered near 25,000 the last decade as well. And now you have a figure of 145,000.
Why would we allow a population of 3000 cougar. Why not 1000 cougar and up the amount of hunter harvest? To keep deer in check or increase the herd size.