I see...after some editing I now understand UThunting's post. I don't want to be too critical here...but I think the data given so far paints an overly optimistic picture.
The data above is the actual number of resident applicants at each preference point level that APPLIED FOR AN ADDITIONAL POINT in last years draw. There were many more applicants at each point level that did not apply for points only. They applied for actual hunts and when unsuccessful they received an additional point.
Let's assume someone had 8 points going into the 2007 draw and they were unsuccessful. They now have 9 points and if unsuccessful in 2008 they will have 10 points. Whether this person is a resident or a nonresident, after the 2007 draw there were over 800 applicants with an equal or greater number of bonus points.
The bright side is that every year a few people with 0,1,2,3,etc. points do draw a tag in the random draw. The only sure thing is that you will not draw if you don't apply.