I think that the chance of a hunt is also around 10%. If the hunt goes through, I do not believe it will proceed without a few seen and unforeseen complications. I won't be applying, but not because I don't believe in what G&F is doing.
The Game and Fish were trapping grizzly bears in the Sunlight-Crandall area this year. I know of the location of 4 of the traps. Because of the snow melt, high water, erosion and the mud situation, they were somewhat limited in the areas they could trap. The Sunlight Elk Refuge is currently closed because of these issues. Getting a trap into the Upper Sunlight must have been a challenge. The trapping was to continue through July 15th, 2018. They were trapping for monitoring purposes and not to move bears.
According to the last young man from Game and Fish that I talked to, they pulled the traps before July 1st. He was pulling the trapping signs on Jul 2nd when I was hiking in the area. They had reached the "quota" well before the deadline. They had no problems finding grizzly bears to trap, collar and tag. They baited the traps with mostly roadkill. The last young man I spoke to indicated that they had not trapped a single black bear this go around. I believe they trapped the most grizzly bears in the Camp Creek/Reef Creek area.
The two individuals I spoke with were pleasant. One of them told me what drugs they used on the bears. He thought the drug they were now using worked the best for what they were trying to accomplish. They also had some observations on the bears they had trapped. Those observations included the condition of some of the bears. I have no doubt that the Wyoming Game and Fish has done their homework on the bear situation and have reached a well reasoned decision to have a hunt. You just don't know if some Federal District Judge will think his knowledge of the situation is greater than the professionals involved in all of this.
just sayin...mh