I'm not sure how it is there in Manti, but I see quite a few bucks here in the northern region that start shedding the last two weeks of january, and by about the third week in feb i don't see many fours still packin at all, mostly smaller bucks, but honestly it just depends on the deer! Some say they start droppin early if it's been real cold but I don't buy into that..
I've found what will be the fourth consecutive year to a high 180 - 190 buck.. I know the week he drops and the winter range he drops on.. I haven't been able to go find em yet because I didn't wanna go in january cus all the deer were still on the range.. Now do to low amounts of snow the deer have all moved out pretty much, but obviously i'm not allowed to go pick em up yet, but as soon as may 1st hits all have his sheds off the hill.. To shorten everything it just depends on the buck! Some drop early some will hold on to em a long time.. This is my opinion and just what i've noticed throughout the years i've hunted sheds..