Roy
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LAST EDITED ON Jan-14-12 AT 11:12PM (MST)[p]LAST EDITED ON Jan-14-12 AT 11:01?PM (MST)
Truth is - and if you really understand the NFL you will admit it - the Broncos have been playing with "house money" since the Dolphins game. This season exceeded so many expectations and in no way am I disappointed as a fan. I still hold my reservations on Tebow, but he has earned the right to compete for the job next year.
He has definitely proven two things. First, he CAN be a big-time passer in the right situations. 316 yards against the Steelers is not a fluke, but a consequence of circumstanes created by the way the defense was reacting to the run-threat. He just needs to do this CONSISTENTLY, especially on 3rd downs. He needs to move the chains and put it in the end zone. If he does that, he can move mountains in the league.
Second, he has proven he can lead a team and knows how to win. No question about it. The team played their hearts out for him and they are on the right track. They are young, the defense is great, the offense is developing and will only get better. Next year will be exciting for sure.
At least this year he will get an off-season. Those OTA's and mini-camps will be key for him, especially as he will be getting starter type reps with the full attention of the QB coach and OC. He is intelligent enough to see and know where ...he needs to improve, and he will, the question is how much.
Once you have a throwing motion like that it is not something you can really change. He has tried before with little success. He needs to hit routes like that 15 yard quick-out and the quick sit downs over the middle (which he has been throwing into the turf) with precision. He is great at the deep lobs after coverage has broken down and the receiver is already open. Watch Brees, Brady, Rogers, and the Manning brothers, they throw the ball long before the receiver is open. Hell, even Alex Smith was doing that tonight. A lot of that is just instinct, not sure you can teach that.
And that is where the statistical comparisons between Tebow and Elway breaks down. Elway had poor stats his first year, comparable to Tebow's really, but we KNEW he could and WOULD make those throws and had the arm to get it WHEREVER on the field he needed it. Honestly, can we really say that about Tebow?
Are we ever going to be able to? Not in that sense.
He is like the little girl with the curl. When is is good, he is very, very, very good. When he is bad, he is horrible.
He has tremendous intangibles and upside POTENTIAL that still needs to be realized. The downside however, is a sheer drop-off. He has the potential to be historically bad. I don't think you could ever have said that about Elway, so you can stop that comparison right there. Tebow needs to be judged against Tebow - his best against his worst. He needs to be measured against what he SHOULD be doing as an NFL QB at this point in his development. Remember, NFL does stand for "Not For Long" - so I think he is going to be on a shorter leash than the fans will want. There is too much money tied up in his contract to not meet expectations and still expect to stay around as the Denver QB just because he is a "great guy". There are a lot of "great guys" who no longer play in the NFL becuase their skills just don't measure up.
The hope I have for him is that he will be able to adapt enough to this type of game in order to be efficient enough when he needs to be. He needs to be able to move the chains with the power running game and option attack and still be able to hit those big plays off play-action,and even off of the option attack, though Belichick demonstrated how you beat that - in a big way.
Props to the Patriots, they are flat out good. I think they stand a chance of winning the Super Bowl this year. Brady is probably the best QB ever when you stack it all together.
Whether or not he ever pans out as a long-term success as an NFL QB, I can honestly say I love Time Tebow as an individual. He has convinced me it is not an act. He is genuine. Read this:
http://espn.go.com/espn/story/_/id/7455943/believing-tim-tebow
You will believe too.
Win or lose, through the heartbreak of three horrible Super Bowl loses and the jubilation of two in a row, you can say what you want, but I will still LOVE MY BRONCOS!! (You just won't see me posting a thread every year, about a month before the season starts, that says THE BRONCOS WILL WIN THE SUPER BOWL THIS YEAR!)
_____________________________________
Burnin' up don't know just how far that I can go, soon be home only just 4 downs to go, I can make it I know I can! You broke the boy in me but you won't break the man! I can see a new horizon blazin' on the Mile High. I'll be where the eagle's flyin' higher and higher! Gonna be your man in motion, all I need's my Broncos team take me where my future's lyin' Tim Tebow's Fire! GO BRONCOS!
HOOK 'EM!
_______________________________________
Since I am frequently asked about my religion on this site and others, I have created a profile that explains my beliefs. If you are interested in finding out more about my faith, please visit the link below:
http://mormon.org/me/6RNQ/
Truth is - and if you really understand the NFL you will admit it - the Broncos have been playing with "house money" since the Dolphins game. This season exceeded so many expectations and in no way am I disappointed as a fan. I still hold my reservations on Tebow, but he has earned the right to compete for the job next year.
He has definitely proven two things. First, he CAN be a big-time passer in the right situations. 316 yards against the Steelers is not a fluke, but a consequence of circumstanes created by the way the defense was reacting to the run-threat. He just needs to do this CONSISTENTLY, especially on 3rd downs. He needs to move the chains and put it in the end zone. If he does that, he can move mountains in the league.
Second, he has proven he can lead a team and knows how to win. No question about it. The team played their hearts out for him and they are on the right track. They are young, the defense is great, the offense is developing and will only get better. Next year will be exciting for sure.
At least this year he will get an off-season. Those OTA's and mini-camps will be key for him, especially as he will be getting starter type reps with the full attention of the QB coach and OC. He is intelligent enough to see and know where ...he needs to improve, and he will, the question is how much.
Once you have a throwing motion like that it is not something you can really change. He has tried before with little success. He needs to hit routes like that 15 yard quick-out and the quick sit downs over the middle (which he has been throwing into the turf) with precision. He is great at the deep lobs after coverage has broken down and the receiver is already open. Watch Brees, Brady, Rogers, and the Manning brothers, they throw the ball long before the receiver is open. Hell, even Alex Smith was doing that tonight. A lot of that is just instinct, not sure you can teach that.
And that is where the statistical comparisons between Tebow and Elway breaks down. Elway had poor stats his first year, comparable to Tebow's really, but we KNEW he could and WOULD make those throws and had the arm to get it WHEREVER on the field he needed it. Honestly, can we really say that about Tebow?
Are we ever going to be able to? Not in that sense.
He is like the little girl with the curl. When is is good, he is very, very, very good. When he is bad, he is horrible.
He has tremendous intangibles and upside POTENTIAL that still needs to be realized. The downside however, is a sheer drop-off. He has the potential to be historically bad. I don't think you could ever have said that about Elway, so you can stop that comparison right there. Tebow needs to be judged against Tebow - his best against his worst. He needs to be measured against what he SHOULD be doing as an NFL QB at this point in his development. Remember, NFL does stand for "Not For Long" - so I think he is going to be on a shorter leash than the fans will want. There is too much money tied up in his contract to not meet expectations and still expect to stay around as the Denver QB just because he is a "great guy". There are a lot of "great guys" who no longer play in the NFL becuase their skills just don't measure up.
The hope I have for him is that he will be able to adapt enough to this type of game in order to be efficient enough when he needs to be. He needs to be able to move the chains with the power running game and option attack and still be able to hit those big plays off play-action,and even off of the option attack, though Belichick demonstrated how you beat that - in a big way.
Props to the Patriots, they are flat out good. I think they stand a chance of winning the Super Bowl this year. Brady is probably the best QB ever when you stack it all together.
Whether or not he ever pans out as a long-term success as an NFL QB, I can honestly say I love Time Tebow as an individual. He has convinced me it is not an act. He is genuine. Read this:
http://espn.go.com/espn/story/_/id/7455943/believing-tim-tebow
You will believe too.
Win or lose, through the heartbreak of three horrible Super Bowl loses and the jubilation of two in a row, you can say what you want, but I will still LOVE MY BRONCOS!! (You just won't see me posting a thread every year, about a month before the season starts, that says THE BRONCOS WILL WIN THE SUPER BOWL THIS YEAR!)
_____________________________________
Burnin' up don't know just how far that I can go, soon be home only just 4 downs to go, I can make it I know I can! You broke the boy in me but you won't break the man! I can see a new horizon blazin' on the Mile High. I'll be where the eagle's flyin' higher and higher! Gonna be your man in motion, all I need's my Broncos team take me where my future's lyin' Tim Tebow's Fire! GO BRONCOS!
HOOK 'EM!
_______________________________________
Since I am frequently asked about my religion on this site and others, I have created a profile that explains my beliefs. If you are interested in finding out more about my faith, please visit the link below:
http://mormon.org/me/6RNQ/
