I've been guiding the Kaibab and strip for over 25 years, here is my take.
With 20 non-resident points, there are about 400 non-residents with your points or more. Unless you have another 25ish years you are probably not going to draw a 13B tag. You are still not in the pass for the 12's either, last year the late 12B west and 12a west took 21 points to draw as a non-resident and just assume that it goes to 22 points this year.
If you are looking for a 190 plus buck there is no reason to wait and maybe get lucky for a 13B tag, you should not overlook 13A and for sure the late 12b west and 12a west hunts will all produce that caliber buck you are looking for. Draw odds are about 15% with 23 points for 13A and 5% for 13B with 23.
Best of luck to everyone applying this year to everyone, if you have any questions or want some advice feel free to reach out to me.
Jason Bond
Bond Trophy Outfitters
9286378378